Thursday, September 4, 2014

The Primary Pulse 9/4/2014

Good evening,
Geo-politics once again saved the day as the on again off again Ukraine / Russia ceasefire headlines rolled by.  We started the morning bottom fishing around the 105:24 mark when out of nowhere the market popped to finally ended the day at 105:30.5.  105:30.5 is only a plus (0.5) lower than the high set last Friday and 5.5 ticks away from the all-time high of the year set back on June 30th.  The trend remains our friend as MBSs look ready to re-test not only 106:00 but also 106:04.  If MBSs can close above 106:04 we’re in new territory and might have a shot at 107:00!
Capital Markets
Primary Residential Mortgage, Inc.
1480 North 2200 West| Salt Lake City|  Utah| 84116
Toll Free 1.800.255.2792
o         Tick       1/32 or .03125
o         MBS       Mortgage Backed Security
o         TBA       To Be Announced (MBS with unknown future delivery)
o         Spec      Specified Pool
The contents in this memo are not an endorsement of any financial products or investments. PRMI assumes no liability, and will not make any recommendations with respect to the purchase or sale of any investment security or its derivatives.
Economic Calendar
Date/Time(Central)
Indicator
Period
Est.
Actual
Prior
Revised
9/2/2014 9:00 AM
ISM Manufacturing
AUG
57.0
59.0
57.1
9/2/2014 9:00 AM
ISM Prices Paid
AUG
58.5
57.9
59.5
9/2/2014 9:00 AM
Construction Spending (MoM)
JUL
1.0%
1.8%
-1.8%
-0.9%
9/3/2014 12:00 AM
Total Vehicle Sales
AUG
16.60M
16.40M
9/3/2014 12:00 AM
Domestic Vehicle Sales
AUG
13.20M
12.95M
9/3/2014 6:00 AM
MBA Mortgage Apps.
29-Aug
--
0.2%
2.8%
9/3/2014 9:00 AM
Factory Orders
JUL
11.0%
1.1%
9/3/2014 1:00 PM
Fed's Beige Book Released
--
--
--
9/4/2014 7:15 AM
ADP Employment Change
AUG
220K
218K
9/4/2014 7:30 AM
Trade Balance
JUL
-$42.4B
-$41.5B
9/4/2014 7:30 AM
Initial Jobless Claims
30-Aug
300K
298K
9/4/2014 7:30 AM
Continuing Jobless Claims
23-Aug
2510K
2527K
9/4/2014 7:30 AM
Non-Farm Productivity
2Q F
2.4%
2.5%
9/4/2014 7:30 AM
Unit Labor Costs
2Q F
0.5%
0.6%
9/4/2014 9:00 AM
ISM Non-Manf. Composite
AUG
58.5
58.7
9/5/2014 7:30 AM
Change in Nonfarm Payrolls
AUG
230K
209K
9/5/2014 7:30 AM
Change in Manufact. Payrolls
AUG
20K
28K
9/5/2014 7:30 AM
Unemployment Rate
AUG
6.1%
6.2%
9/5/2014 7:30 AM
Avg. Hourly Earnings (MoM)

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